Iran is Trump's Bay of Pigs
Only a few of us really old people know about the Bay of Pigs. A short version of the story is a small group of U.S. military invaded Cuba with the ultimate goal of over-throwing the Castro government. The invasion turned out to be almost a joke with tiny and poor Cuban defeating the great power, the U.S.A.
While the bombing of Iran and Iran's reaction is yet to fully play out, the short-term conclusion is it has been a failure. Yes, many of its military assets have been destroyed. A country with money, meaning oil, and a well-educated population can rebuild anything that has been bombed.
It's worth recalling the hubris and politics that led up to the Bay of Pigs. My own way of summarizing it is that national politics of the time made communism into a much bigger threat than it turned out to be. This miscalculation drove the notion, "We need to do something about Cuba." One can read how many different ideas were floated and rejected but the over-arching thing was something needed to be done.
Now, all these decades later, the narrative is, "Something needs to be done about Iran." Democrats like Biden spoke in this way but had the maturity of hold back crazy ideas like attacking. The Trump hubris is not in check.
Trump said he had intelligence that Iran was about to do something terrible. Bush II had intelligence there were "weapons of mass destruction." We should be skeptical.
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