The New Single-Issue Voting Now for Abortion Rights, Not Against


Ever since Roe made abortion legal across the U.S. a big chuck of U.S. voters cared only about stopping abortions. It appears that number may have been about 30% to as high as 40%. Polling, and of course the seven recent elections, signaled a change. Now a climbing percentage of pro-choice voters have become single issue and single issue pro-life voters have declined. 

The few times I have participated in a "voter telephone poll" which seemed legitimate, all the old polling techniques came up. There were questions like "Do you usually vote for Democrats or Republicans?", "Is the country going in the right direction or wrong direction?', etc. These questions do not get to the heart of feelings and change churning in U.S. society. The issue churning is about women's rights and religion in government. 

A lot of big political theories center of employment, prosperity or inflation. The press like to discuss how candidates do in debates. Lots of articles are about how voters do not like either candidate. (This latter is the same every four years, lots of voters always say they don't like either candidate.) Since the repeal of Roe, an elephant entered the room that most traditional polling doesn't see. The central question should be, "Do you favor abortion rights?" That question, and only that question, will reveal how November election will turn out. 

It seems to me both the Trump and Biden camps see things this way as well. Biden, so one reads, plans to focus on abortion and toss in when he feels like the criminal indictment thing. Trump is backing away from, or never wanted, a national ban on abortion. He has, or thinks he has, anti abortion voters in his back pocket because they cannot vote for Biden. Will they all vote at all? I've never heard a right-wing religious crack pot say, "Sin is a states-right issue. Something can be a sin in one state but not in another." 

I've heard Trump talk about the national debt, too much government spending and that Biden is too old. It's a stretch to think these overrule the availability of abortions. The non party voters, about 20% are up for grabs and evidence is abortion rights and Biden will get more of these than Trump.

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