Ohio Vote Yesterday was the Day the Music Died


The vote yesterday in Ohio indirectly supporting abortion rights means one thing: Anti- abortion is the enemy of the Republican Party, not its friend. Republicans should concentration on impeaching anti-abortion instead of President Biden. Abortion rights will be approved next year in Ohio. An election will be held then. But the vote for a state Constitutional approval of abortion rights will also the day of the election of our next President and a U.S. Senator. 

On election day next year a huge number of Ohio electoral college votes will be at stake. Who will win these votes next year? Because the abortion rights issue will be on the ballot, and because it will swell the turnout of women and liberal men, the odds improve for President Biden over Trump. The odds will also improve the odds of the incumbent Democrat Senator. This, even though Trump has carried Ohio twice. The reason for these improved odds is because an abortion rights measure on the ballot will change who turns out to vote. Abortion rights has been shown several times since the repeal of Roe to jack up the voter turnout of women and supportive men. While there is a lot of press today discussing the vote in Ohio, its focus has overlooked the nature of voter turnout in Ohio this coming fall. One outlet which focuses on politics did point out the implications of turnout on Ohio and on national elections in general.

What will Trump make of this? He has already criticized a national ban on abortion. Will he simply become an abortion rights candidate? With him, anything is possible.

There are 18 states which allow the kind of voter-initiated measures. The other states rely on governors and legislators. It seems obvious, however, that the 18 states where voters initiate measures or overrule measures passed by their legislators and governors influence other states. In the case of abortion rights, when states pass voter initiated measures that drop restrictions on abortions put there by legislators, it affects the politics and the abortion business. Abortions no longer require ridiculous waiting periods, second visits and ultrasounds. These measures, put there to frustrate women, are gone. Clinics in these states will attract patients from more restrictive states hurting business interests there. That said, Minnesota does not allow initiated measures but its legislature and Governor reduced some harassment requirements.

For decades, anti-abortion operatives have told a lie. It was that the public is "bitterly divided" about abortion. This implied a 50-50 split. Polls correctly showed there was overwhelming support for abortion rights and the so-called human beings in womb were never there.

For Republicans yesterday was like the crash that killed Buddy Holly, the day the music died.

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