Is There any Religion-Based Exemption the Sumpreme Court Will Deny

As the Supreme Court says yes to cases after case in which someone wants to be exempted from a law because of some religious belief, both liberal and conservative observers must be wondering where it will draw the line. When will it say, "Yes this violates your religion, No, you are not exempt from the law." As the link notes, an Amish group was exempted from a law requiring treatment of water used for dishes and bathing. What will happen when a request comes for exemption from raw sewage?

To someone outside religion, it is impossible to understand how this Court, or any Court, can sort through requests from the religious for exemptions from laws and decide which merit exemption and which do not. To me, all requests are arbitrary products of the human brain, imaginary gods and rules of these imaginary gods to be followed. If judges grant one exemption how can they then turn down any other?

It is possible, I suppose, for judges to reason just like some church goers and their preachers. It is, "I know my god and my religion is the real one. Others are fakes and need to go." Using this logic, Catholics should do well because a majority of the Supreme Court judges are Catholics. Thankfully, some of the Catholic judges rule against the Catholic Bureaucracy's dogmatic political postures.

My prediction is that during the next three to five years the old issues of racial and religious prejudice will find their way to the Supreme Court. We will see people who run motels refuse mixed racial couples, unmarried couples, men sharing rooms, etc. We will hear, "My religion forbids me from offering services to couples who are living in sin." Then it will be restaurants not serving meals, check out clerks in grocery stores and whatever else comes along. Turning down service to those one looks down on is to exercise "religious liberty."

A few decades back, courts might have required a voted on statement by a denomination to verify that some religious belief had been vetted and voted on by some church body. That has been replaced by "sincerely held belief" which leaves the barn door open.

I know full well that predicting such political events is not possible. As Ronald Reagan once said, "Politics is a thing were the unexpected often happens. One or more judges might swing to a different direction or their might be a replacement on the court. 

But for now, the question of whether there exist grounds to turn down requests for exemptions to laws on the basis of religious liberty exist in the minds of conservative judges.