The Supreme Court May Delay Roe Until After the Election


It would be impossible for a Supreme Court to be more political than this one. Why not delay overturning Roe to win an election? While there are surprises everywhere in politics, Democratic Party operatives think they have a chance of winning a lot of seats in the midterms if the Supremes dump Roe. Republicans are worried Democrats might be right. Republicans on the Court are thinking they may cause a loss. 

The thinking of operatives among both Democrats and Republicans is that dumping Roe has the potential to fire up women voters like never before. When dumping Roe was in the news was only a potential event, a cross section of women, Republicans and Democrats, were not that alarmed or interested. They did not turn out to vote in the numbers needed to stem Republican gains. When Trump lost suburbs it was something new and was attributed to larger turnouts of women and their disaffection from Republican politics. What would happen if Roe was dumped and Democrats had the money to bombard voters with outrage? Republicans would just as soon not find out. Their thinking is it would be better to have a couple of years between the anti Roe decision and an election cycle.

If the rumor is correct the Supreme Court would delay issuing an opinion until after an election, any election, it tears down the last wall between politics and the Court and the wall between church and state. All of that will be gone. 

Polls are showing there is more support for Roe than there has been for a long time. All of this surely has to do with the difference between a potential overturn and an actual one. It doesn't seem possible to me the overturn will alter this positive polling and probably the votes to follow it. I can't predict the future but that is my opinion.

A lot of this surely has to do with forcing the public to think through the implications of no Roe and what is behind it. It may be easy for some to carry two opposing views in their heads at the same time. One view is it would be better not to kill a fetus. The other view is the woman has rights to her own body. What voters miss in holding both views is they are mutually exclusive. Saving all fetuses from abortion is not possible if women have rights. 

Overturning Roe forces minds to recognize the two views, saving fetuses and preserving women's rights, cannot exist at the same time. My views is a majority of voters will favor the woman's rights. Republican Supreme Court members may be thinking the same thing.

Comments

  1. JonJune 23, 2022 at 6:35 PM

    While discussing theories of who and what might happen, a retired attorney friend and close observer of the Supreme Court made an interesting comment today. He said the decision about guns in New York included Roberts. It was far outside John Roberts circle of reasoning--not at all like him. That may mean, my friend said, there is vote trading going on. Roberts supported gun rights in exchange for Kavanaugh voting not to overturn Roe.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Matt NoahJune 24, 2022 at 10:27 AM

    6-3 in favor of reversing Roe. O, Happy Day!

    When will Fargo's killing center close?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JonJune 24, 2022 at 11:17 AM

      Matt: Your question is actually, "When will it open in Moorhead?"

      Delete
    2. AnonymousJune 24, 2022 at 2:56 PM

      I am with you, Matt Noah. So happy that something that Jon helped to create will now be gone.

      Delete
    3. JonJune 24, 2022 at 4:09 PM

      Anonymous "So happy something that Jon helped to create will now be gone." Matt has not said what exactly is accomplished when the clinic opens up again in Moorhead. Since he has no answer maybe you do.

      Delete
    4. HenryJune 24, 2022 at 9:32 PM

      ” Matt has not said what exactly is accomplished when the clinic opens up again in Moorhead.”

      I would imagine 16 year-old ND minors living in ND cannot be coerced to be aborted against their parent’s wishes and knowledge. I can’t see a ND court ruling to abort them when illegal in ND.

      ” The Supreme Court May Delay Roe Until After the Election”

      I think you were wrong.

      Delete

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